How the Pahalgam attack just changed everything?
EXPLAINED
Hey there, and welcome to another Friday edition!
We’re wrapping up the week with some intense global news that’s been making waves.
You’ve probably heard about the tragic terror attack in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, which has turned up the heat between India and Pakistan.
Let’s break it all down, get to the heart of the matter, and explore what’s really going on here.
📌 The Pahalgam attack
What happened?
On April 22, Pahalgam, a peaceful tourist spot in Jammu and Kashmir, turned into the site of a devastating terror attack. Armed terrorists opened fire on tourists, leaving 26 people dead. This hit hard, not just because of the loss of innocent lives, but because it was a brutal reminder of the ongoing conflict in the region.
In response, India wasted no time and took a strong stand.
The government announced five big security measures, including suspending the Indus Waters Treaty (which affects water sharing between India and Pakistan) and shutting down the Attari Integrated Check Post.
Along with this, Pakistani nationals were banned from visiting India under a specific visa scheme, and there were diplomatic moves to reduce Pakistan’s representation in India.
Not one to sit quietly, Pakistan reacted sharply, holding its own security meeting and coming up with countermeasures. Among the most dramatic moves was Pakistan suspending the 1972 Simla Agreement - something that’s been a cornerstone of the India-Pakistan relationship for decades.
📌 So, what’s the Simla Agreement, and why does it matter?
The Simla Agreement was signed in 1972 after the war that led to Bangladesh’s independence.
The deal was supposed to be a way to ensure peace between the two nations, especially regarding the disputed Kashmir region. One of the key points was that both countries agreed to respect the Line of Control (LoC), which divides Indian and Pakistani-controlled Kashmir.
With Pakistan now suspending this agreement, it’s a huge shift. The LoC, which was meant to maintain peace and prevent military escalation, is no longer guaranteed.
Both sides can now alter it unilaterally: meaning tensions could easily rise, and the possibility of military action could increase.
📌But, this will help India. How?
While Pakistan’s move might seem like a direct challenge, it actually gives India a few advantages. Let’s break them down:
LoC is no longer set in stone: The suspension of the Simla Agreement means the LoC isn’t as “sacred” anymore. India now has more freedom to take action along the border if it chooses, without being bound by the agreement. This could lead to changes in areas like the Siachen Glacier, where there’s been a long-standing military dispute.
Military action is also on the table: The Simla Agreement had a clause that encouraged both countries to solve problems peacefully and avoid military action. With the agreement now suspended, India has more leeway to use military options if necessary, especially in regions where terrorism and infiltration are frequent.
Global support for India: The agreement had also restricted international involvement, but today, India has built strong relationships with major global players like the US, Israel, and European nations. These countries are more likely to support India’s actions and isolate Pakistan diplomatically. In fact, we saw a sign of this when the US corrected a news report about the Pahalgam attack, calling the attackers “terrorists” instead of “militants.”
What Happens Next?
Right now, the situation is unpredictable. With the Simla Agreement on hold, both countries have more room to maneuver, but that also means more risk. While India might be able to push its diplomatic agenda forward with international support, the possibility of military escalation is always in the background.
The future of Kashmir, the role of global powers, and how both nations choose to navigate these heightened tensions will be crucial in the coming weeks.
📌 What’s next?
As India and Pakistan navigate this complex phase of heightened tensions, it’s clear that the suspension of the Simla Agreement has opened both risks and opportunities.
While it’s uncertain how things will unfold, what’s evident is that both countries stand at a crossroads.
The future of Kashmir, the role of international actors, and the path to de-escalation all hang in the balance.
So, that’s it for today. If you enjoyed this edition, subscribe to hear from us every day!
See ya 👋
