Happy Monday, guys!
If you’ve already had three cups of coffee and are still moving in slow motion, you’re not alone.
But while most of us are easing into the week, the Indian stock market decided to hit the accelerator.
Monday, August 18, kicked off on a strong note, with investors cheering signs of easing global headwinds and domestic reforms that promise brighter days ahead.
📌 What happened?
The Sensex opened at 81,315.79, climbing from Friday’s close of 80,597.66, and surged over 1,100 points, or 1.4%, to an intraday high of 81,765.77.
The Nifty 50 followed suit, opening at 24,938.20 and jumping 1.6% to hit 25,022. Even midcap and smallcap indices weren’t left behind, rising over 1% each.
Within the first five minutes of trade, the total market capitalization of BSE-listed companies jumped from ₹445 lakh crore to over ₹450 lakh crore, that’s a cool ₹5 lakh crore added to investors’ wealth in a flash.
📌 And, why did it happen?
GST reforms getting a thumbs-up
Prime Minister Modi’s Independence Day announcement of next-generation GST reforms hit the right chord. The plan to rationalize tax slabs, moving products from 12% and 28% rates to 5% and 18% is expected to benefit sectors like autos, cement, and insurance. Brokerage firms like Emkay Global have called it “growth-accretive, big-ticket reform” and even revised the Nifty target to 28,000 by September 2026. In simpler terms: cheaper products, faster formalization of the economy, and healthier corporate growth. For consumers, it could even mean your Diwali shopping just got a little lighter on the pocket!
Easing geopolitical headwinds
Markets are also relieved by potential progress on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. While the Trump-Putin talks in Alaska didn’t deliver a signed agreement, investors are now watching the Trump-Zelensky meeting with bated breath. Even a small glimmer of hope in geopolitics can move billions in the stock market, and today, optimism is doing just that.
S&P Global upgrade gives India a boost
S&P Global upgraded India’s sovereign rating from BBB— to BBB, the first upgrade since 2007, while keeping the outlook "stable." Analysts say this is a structural positive, opening doors for fresh global funds. Lower risk perception can lower borrowing costs for companies, improve foreign investment flows, and even strengthen the rupee. As Madhavi Arora from Emkay Global put it, a higher rating “can lower India’s risk premia and decrease funding costs across corporate borrowing abroad.”
Hopes of eased US tariffs
After hinting that secondary tariffs on India may be reconsidered, US President Trump gave the market another reason to cheer. The so-called “Trump Sword” of a 50% tariff was hanging over India’s exports, and even a hint of reprieve has investors optimistic. With India-US trade talks likely deferred until late August, any news that softens trade tensions is being welcomed with open arms.
Earnings recovery in sight
Finally, positive growth-inflation dynamics and rising consumption expectations are helping investors bet on earnings recovery in the third and fourth quarters. Motilal Oswal notes that Nifty is trading at a forward PE of 20.8, in line with its 10-year average, and FY26 PAT growth is projected at 9.8%. Simply put, companies may start posting stronger profits soon, which supports current valuations and could pave the way for fresh market highs.
So, that’s it for today. If you enjoyed this edition, subscribe to hear from us every day!
See ya 👋